North Korea nuke by...?
$267,366 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT

August 15
$22,213 Vol.
No

December 31
$56,330 Vol.
No

March 31
$151,138 Vol.
No

May 31
$37,685 Vol.
No
Market Context
North Korea nuke by...?
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic People's Public of Korea (North Korea) detonates a nuclear device in an any capacity by August 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation initiated by North Korea will result in a "Yes" resolution.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation initiated by North Korea will result in a "Yes" resolution.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Volume
$267,366
End Date
May 31, 2024
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Outcome: No
August 15
Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.
Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.